https://ogma.newcastle.edu.au/vital/access/ /manager/Index en-au 5 Improving the Reliability of Sub-Seasonal Forecasts of High and Low Flows by Using a Flow-Dependent Nonparametric Model https://ogma.newcastle.edu.au/vital/access/ /manager/Repository/uon:48603 Wed 13 Mar 2024 19:13:28 AEDT ]]> Pitfalls and improvements in the joint inference of heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation in hydrological model calibration https://ogma.newcastle.edu.au/vital/access/ /manager/Repository/uon:17074 Wed 11 Apr 2018 16:26:15 AEST ]]> Understanding predictive uncertainty in hydrologic modeling: the challenge of identifying input and structural errors https://ogma.newcastle.edu.au/vital/access/ /manager/Repository/uon:10942 Wed 11 Apr 2018 14:09:47 AEST ]]> Modeling long-term persistence in hydroclimatic time series using a hidden state Markov model https://ogma.newcastle.edu.au/vital/access/ /manager/Repository/uon:2884 Wed 11 Apr 2018 13:50:42 AEST ]]> Critical evaluation of parameter consistency and predictive uncertainty in hydrological modeling: a case study using Bayesian total error analysis https://ogma.newcastle.edu.au/vital/access/ /manager/Repository/uon:6843 Wed 11 Apr 2018 13:16:58 AEST ]]> A limited-memory acceleration strategy for MCMC sampling in hierarchical Bayesian calibration of hydrological models https://ogma.newcastle.edu.au/vital/access/ /manager/Repository/uon:10965 Wed 11 Apr 2018 12:21:41 AEST ]]> Toward a reliable decomposition of predictive uncertainty in hydrological modeling: characterizing rainfall errors using conditional simulation https://ogma.newcastle.edu.au/vital/access/ /manager/Repository/uon:15366 Wed 11 Apr 2018 11:37:54 AEST ]]> Multi-temporal hydrological residual error modeling for seamless subseasonal streamflow forecasting https://ogma.newcastle.edu.au/vital/access/ /manager/Repository/uon:43996 Wed 05 Oct 2022 15:06:56 AEDT ]]> A simplified approach to produce probabilistic hydrological model predictions https://ogma.newcastle.edu.au/vital/access/ /manager/Repository/uon:35943 Wed 05 Aug 2020 13:34:13 AEST ]]> Improving probabilistic prediction of daily streamflow by identifying Pareto optimal approaches for modeling heteroscedastic residual errors https://ogma.newcastle.edu.au/vital/access/ /manager/Repository/uon:33492 Wed 04 Sep 2019 09:40:24 AEST ]]> The Importance of Spatiotemporal Variability in Irrigation Inputs for Hydrological Modeling of Irrigated Catchments https://ogma.newcastle.edu.au/vital/access/ /manager/Repository/uon:41676 Tue 07 Nov 2023 15:19:27 AEDT ]]> Evaluating post-processing approaches for monthly and seasonal streamflow forecasts https://ogma.newcastle.edu.au/vital/access/ /manager/Repository/uon:35254 Thu 04 Jul 2019 14:24:19 AEST ]]> A high-resolution hierarchical space-time framework for single storm events and its application for short-term rainfall forecasting https://ogma.newcastle.edu.au/vital/access/ /manager/Repository/uon:8998 Sat 24 Mar 2018 08:38:40 AEDT ]]> Towards a Bayesian total error analysis of conceptual rainfall-runoff models: characterising model error using storm-dependent parameters https://ogma.newcastle.edu.au/vital/access/ /manager/Repository/uon:1042 Sat 24 Mar 2018 08:32:14 AEDT ]]> Parameter estimation and model identification for stochastic models of annual hydrological data: Is the observed record long enough? https://ogma.newcastle.edu.au/vital/access/ /manager/Repository/uon:1130 Sat 24 Mar 2018 08:32:05 AEDT ]]> A hidden Markov model for modelling long-term persistence in multi-site rainfall time series: 2. real data analysis https://ogma.newcastle.edu.au/vital/access/ /manager/Repository/uon:1846 Sat 24 Mar 2018 08:31:21 AEDT ]]> A hidden Markov model for modelling long-term persistence in multi-site rainfall time series 1: model calibration using a Bayesian approach https://ogma.newcastle.edu.au/vital/access/ /manager/Repository/uon:1848 Sat 24 Mar 2018 08:31:20 AEDT ]]> Quantifying parameter uncertainty in stochastic models using the Box-Cox transformation https://ogma.newcastle.edu.au/vital/access/ /manager/Repository/uon:944 Sat 24 Mar 2018 08:29:58 AEDT ]]> A behavioural approach to stochastic end use modelling https://ogma.newcastle.edu.au/vital/access/ /manager/Repository/uon:14305 Sat 24 Mar 2018 08:19:24 AEDT ]]> There are no hydrological monsters, just models and observations with large uncertainties! https://ogma.newcastle.edu.au/vital/access/ /manager/Repository/uon:10481 Sat 24 Mar 2018 08:09:15 AEDT ]]> A hybrid method for efficiently estimating the annual flood distribution under a changing climate https://ogma.newcastle.edu.au/vital/access/ /manager/Repository/uon:21712 Sat 24 Mar 2018 08:06:24 AEDT ]]> An efficient causative event-based approach for deriving the annual flood frequency distribution https://ogma.newcastle.edu.au/vital/access/ /manager/Repository/uon:18866 Sat 24 Mar 2018 08:03:14 AEDT ]]> The open source RFortran library for accessing R from Fortran, with applications in environmental modelling https://ogma.newcastle.edu.au/vital/access/ /manager/Repository/uon:17968 Sat 24 Mar 2018 07:56:22 AEDT ]]> A stochastic model for identifying the long term dynamics of indoor household water uses https://ogma.newcastle.edu.au/vital/access/ /manager/Repository/uon:6157 Sat 24 Mar 2018 07:44:32 AEDT ]]> Scrutinizing parameter consistency and predictive uncertainty in rainfall-runoff models using Bayesian total error analysis https://ogma.newcastle.edu.au/vital/access/ /manager/Repository/uon:6094 Sat 24 Mar 2018 07:44:29 AEDT ]]> Investigating the impact of predicitive uncertainity in rainfall-runoff modelling on storage reliability estimates using Bayesian total error analysis https://ogma.newcastle.edu.au/vital/access/ /manager/Repository/uon:6095 Sat 24 Mar 2018 07:44:25 AEDT ]]> Natural hazards in Australia: droughts https://ogma.newcastle.edu.au/vital/access/ /manager/Repository/uon:27638 Sat 24 Mar 2018 07:34:04 AEDT ]]> Quantifying parameter uncertainty in stochastic models using the Box-Cox transformation https://ogma.newcastle.edu.au/vital/access/ /manager/Repository/uon:3369 Sat 24 Mar 2018 07:19:01 AEDT ]]> Seamless streamflow forecasting at daily to monthly scales: MuTHRE lets you have your cake and eat it too https://ogma.newcastle.edu.au/vital/access/ /manager/Repository/uon:52128 Mon 29 Jan 2024 18:39:50 AEDT ]]> Benefits of explicit treatment of zero flows in probabilistic hydrological modeling of ephemeral catchments https://ogma.newcastle.edu.au/vital/access/ /manager/Repository/uon:36713 mid‐ephemeral catchments (5–50% zero flows) the explicit approach improves predictive performance, especially reliability, through better characterization of residual errors; (2) BC0.2 and BC0.5 schemes are Pareto optimal in mid‐ephemeral catchments (when the explicit approach is used): BC0.2 achieves better reliability and is recommended for probabilistic prediction, whereas BC0.5 attains lower volumetric bias; (3) in low‐ephemeral catchments (<5% zero flows) the pragmatic approach is sufficient; (4) in high‐ephemeral catchments (>50% zero flows) theoretical limitations result in poor performance of these particular explicit and pragmatic approaches, and further development is needed. The findings provide guidance on improving probabilistic streamflow predictions in ephemeral catchments.]]> Fri 26 Jun 2020 09:47:43 AEST ]]> Comparison of joint versus postprocessor approaches for hydrological uncertainty estimation accounting for error autocorrelation and heteroscedasticity https://ogma.newcastle.edu.au/vital/access/ /manager/Repository/uon:16956 Fri 16 Aug 2024 06:44:27 AEST ]]>